{"id":98380,"date":"2021-01-13T18:02:57","date_gmt":"2021-01-13T18:02:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/?p=98380"},"modified":"2021-01-14T11:17:19","modified_gmt":"2021-01-14T11:17:19","slug":"jose-maria-baldasano-serem-capacos-de-limitar-lescalfament-global-a-15oc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/jose-maria-baldasano-serem-capacos-de-limitar-lescalfament-global-a-15oc\/","title":{"rendered":"Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Baldasano: \u00bfSerem capa\u00e7os de limitar l’escalfament global a 1,5\u00baC?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Baldasano<\/em><\/strong><\/a>
\nCatedr\u00e0tic em\u00e8rit d’Enginyeria Ambiental de la Universitat Polit\u00e8cnica de Catalunya, consultor del Programa de les Nacions Unides per al Medi Ambient i acad\u00e8mic de n\u00famero de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914 (RAED)<\/em><\/p>\n

Article publicat a l’edici\u00f3 espanyola del portal acad\u00e8mic The Conversation el 28 de desembre de 2020 i a l’edici\u00f3 espanyola del diari digital “Huffington Post” el 31 de desembre de 2020<\/em><\/p>\n

\"calentamientoJos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Baldasano<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, catedr\u00e0tic d’Enginyeria Ambiental de la Universitat Polit\u00e8cnica de Catalunya<\/strong> i acad\u00e8mic de n\u00famero de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914<\/strong> (RAED), va publicar a l’edici\u00f3 espanyola del portal acad\u00e8mic The Conversation<\/strong> i a l’edici\u00f3 espanyola el diari digital “Huffington Post”<\/strong> entre els passats 28 i 31 de desembre l’article “\u00bfSeremos capaces de limitar el calentamiento global a 1,5\u00baC?”<\/strong>, on es q\u00fcestiona si la humanitat, malgrat les seves bones declaracions d’intencions i diversos acords i protocols internacionals, ser\u00e0 capa\u00e7 de combatre amb efic\u00e0cia i, sobretot, a temps, el canvi clim\u00e0tic, despr\u00e9s que el negacionisme s’hagi vist relegat dia a dia per l’evid\u00e8ncia.<\/p>\n

“Sempre hi ha hagut canvis clim\u00e0tics, per\u00f2 les observacions i investigacions cient\u00edfiques permeten concloure que l’actual canvi clim\u00e0tic est\u00e0 provocat per l’esp\u00e8cie humana i, en nom\u00e9s 300 anys, fora de tota escala clim\u00e0tica coneguda. Ja no hi ha discussi\u00f3 cient\u00edfica al respecte, per\u00f2 que s\u00ed social i pol\u00edtica. La causa \u00e9s l’acceleraci\u00f3 de l’activitat humana: el creixement de poblaci\u00f3 i el desenvolupament econ\u00f2mic des de la m\u00e0quina de vapor el 1750, per\u00f2 especialment el creixement exponencial des de la segona meitat del segle XX. Aquest ens ha portat a desajustar el cicle del carboni per l’\u00fas desaforat dels combustibles f\u00f2ssils a causa del model energ\u00e8tic que vam adoptar”, inicia l’acad\u00e8mic la seva reflexi\u00f3.<\/p>\n

\"Jos\u00e9

Dr. Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Baldasano<\/p><\/div>\n

Aquesta realitat, que ha portat als experts a acceptar que l’acci\u00f3 de l’home ha aconseguit fins i tot canviar l’era geol\u00f2gica de la Terra per evolucionar des del Holoc\u00e8 a l’actual Antropoc\u00e8, t\u00e9 els seus principals indicadors als nivells de les mol\u00e8cules de CO2, CH4 i N2O que es troben actualment a l’atmosfera i que dupliquen o fins i tot van m\u00e9s enll\u00e0 dels nivells estimats en l’\u00e8poca preindustrial. Tot aix\u00f2 t\u00e9 una incid\u00e8ncia directa sobre la variaci\u00f3 t\u00e8rmica dels oceans i sobre el clima, el que comporta en \u00e0rees com la mediterr\u00e0nia l’augment de les temperatures, augment de les sequeres, augment de les onades de calor, augment i major freq\u00fc\u00e8ncia d’incendis, major nombre i magnitud de les marejades, pujada progressiva del nivell del mar, menors precipitacions, m\u00e9s estr\u00e8s h\u00eddric i menys neu a les muntanyes, i al seu torn una menor disponibilitat d’aigua a l’estiu, entre d’altres efectes adversos per als seus ecosistemes i la vida humana.<\/p>\n

Sobre els acords internacionals per combatre aquesta situaci\u00f3, Baldasano es mostra esc\u00e8ptic. “Els informes de l’ONU indiquen seriosos dubtes sobre l’objectiu de 1,5\u00b0C. Assenyalen que la difer\u00e8ncia entre la reducci\u00f3 d’emissions necess\u00e0ria i les promeses de reducci\u00f3 \u00e9s alarmantment elevada. Si aquesta difer\u00e8ncia es mant\u00e9 per a l’any 2030, \u00e9s extremadament improbable que es pugui assolir l’objectiu de mantenir l’escalfament global per sota de 2\u00b0C d’increment. Les emissions mundials de gasos d’efecte hivernacle haurien de baixar un 7,6% cada any entre el 2020 i el 2030 perqu\u00e8 la humanitat estigu\u00e9s en cam\u00ed de contenir l’augment de temperatures en 1,5\u00b0C, objectiu de l’Acord de Par\u00eds<\/strong>. Si el que es persegueix \u00e9s un objectiu menys ambici\u00f3s de 2\u00b0C, el descens hauria de ser del 2,7% anual. El pitjor escenari clim\u00e0tic ens portaria a gaireb\u00e9 5\u00b0C a finals de segle XXI”, adverteix.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Llegiu l’article a The Conversation<\/a><\/h2>\n

Llegiu l’article a “Huffington Post”<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Baldasano reflexiona: Serem capa\u00e7os de limitar l’escalfament global a 1,5\u00baC?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":98363,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[310],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-98380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-medi-ambient","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"\nSerem capa\u00e7os de combatir el canvi clim\u00e0tic? - Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Baldasano reflexiona: Serem capa\u00e7os de limitar l'escalfament global a 1,5\u00baC?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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