{"id":89225,"date":"2020-03-31T21:45:58","date_gmt":"2020-03-31T21:45:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/?p=89225"},"modified":"2020-04-02T16:13:14","modified_gmt":"2020-04-02T16:13:14","slug":"escanyant-el-teixit-empresarial-jose-maria-gay-de-liebana","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/escanyant-el-teixit-empresarial-jose-maria-gay-de-liebana\/","title":{"rendered":"Escanyant el teixit empresarial"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 M\u00aa Gay de Li\u00e9bana<\/strong><\/em><\/a>
\nProfessor de la Facultat d’Economia i Empresa de la Universitat de Barcelona<\/em>
\nAcad\u00e8mic de n\u00famero de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914 (RAED)<\/em><\/p>\n

Si el male\u00eft patogen fustiga la poblaci\u00f3, el Govern, amb la seva nefasta gesti\u00f3, est\u00e0 posant la soga al coll a l’economia espanyola. No caminava errat l’altre dia, quan vaig dir que les mesures econ\u00f2miques anunciades pel Govern eren una presa de p\u00e8l. Ara, per\u00f2, en honor a la veritat, rectifico: la resposta econ\u00f2mica del Govern constitueix una presa de p\u00e8l elevada al quadrat. Potser algun incaut imaginava que el Govern posaria aquells 100.000 milions d’euros d’avals per a garantir pr\u00e9stecs a empreses i aut\u00f2noms de cop damunt de la taula, a manera d’analg\u00e8sic per a la nostra malaltissa economia. D’aix\u00f2, res de res. Dels hipot\u00e8tics 100.000 milions, la cosa, de moment, es queda en una xavalla de 20.000 milions d’euros, amb nom\u00e9s 10.000 per a pimes i aut\u00f2noms… Una cosa aix\u00ed com la xocolata del lloro, a la vista de la magnitud del cataclisme econ\u00f2mic.<\/p>\n

\"\"L’economia espanyola es troba davant d’una cru\u00eflla: Goldman Sachs<\/strong> apunta a una caiguda del 9,7% del nostre PIB per al 2020 -en funci\u00f3 del confinament i de la crisi- i un d\u00e8ficit p\u00fablic del 10%, que superaria \u00e0mpliament els 100.000 milions de euros. Malgrat l’emerg\u00e8ncia econ\u00f2mica, Hisenda exigeix \u200b\u200ba aut\u00f2noms i empreses que cotitzin religiosament aquest mes de mar\u00e7, deixant anar que per a aix\u00f2 serveixen les l\u00ednies de liquiditat que es posen en marxa i que caldr\u00e0 tramitar. Per a m\u00e9s inri, amb el confinament \u00e9s complicat complir amb els procediments tributaris i pagaments d’impostos. Sobrevolen els rec\u00e0rrecs i sancions, a m\u00e9s de la ca\u00f2tica gesti\u00f3 dels ERTO. En termes vulgars, dir\u00edem que el Govern mana a fer punyetes el teixit empresarial i enc\u00e9n la metxa perqu\u00e8 l’economia espanyola cremi. Per qu\u00e8? Tornem al que ja he indicat dies enrere: no hi ha maniobrabilitat fiscal per fer front a aquesta crisi abruptament sobrevinguda.<\/p>\n

El Banc d’Espanya<\/strong> recrimina al seu \u00faltim informe, d’aquesta mateixa setmana, alguna cosa sobre el que venim insistint in illo tempore (1): s’han desaprofitat els anys de recuperaci\u00f3 econ\u00f2mica per comptar amb matal\u00e0s pressupostari que, en aquest tr\u00e0ngol, esmorte\u00eds l’impacte de la crisi v\u00edrica i, en gastar m\u00e9s del que es degu\u00e9s, el desquadrament dels comptes p\u00fablics ens ofega; el 2020, el d\u00e8ficit p\u00fablic ser\u00e0 un espectacle. Verbigr\u00e0cia, la possibilitat de donar un gir al sistema financer de la Seguretat Social, amb un d\u00e8ficit el 2018 de 17.000 milions d’euros, es difumina. Els expedients de regulaci\u00f3 temporal d’ocupaci\u00f3 no cessen, l’atur agonitzar\u00e0, les cotitzacions socials disminuiran, s’intueixen tancaments empresarials i l’ocupaci\u00f3 no tan sols no creixer\u00e0, sin\u00f3 que caur\u00e0. Sumeu-n’hi els augments de les pensions. El d\u00e8ficit de la Seguretat Social, com el de la resta del conjunt de les Administracions P\u00fabliques de l’Estat, ser\u00e0 comprom\u00e8s.<\/p>\n

Com a economista em faig ress\u00f2 del pronunciament del Consell General d’Economistes<\/strong>, que retreu al Govern la seva falta de sensibilitat amb empreses i professionals, amb la que est\u00e0 caient, en posar en perill la superviv\u00e8ncia de centenars de milers. Una manera molt senzilla d’atorgar liquiditat a les nostres empreses, per capejar el temporal, seria ampliant i fins i tot exonerant el pagament d’impostos i quotes de la Seguretat Social. A m\u00e9s, ja no nom\u00e9s \u00e9s falta d’escr\u00fapols, sin\u00f3 un atac frontal per a les empreses que, contra vent i marea, estan intentant mantenir activitat i sostenint personal, sense ajustar plantilla en aquesta pertorbaci\u00f3 pand\u00e8mica, que se’ls obligui a pagar puntualment impostos i aportacions empresarials a la Seguretat Social. A m\u00e9s, \u00e9s un desprop\u00f2sit en aquests moments que Hisenda reiteri que el termini per a la presentaci\u00f3 de l’IRPF comen\u00e7a a comptar, quan s\u00ed s’estan despla\u00e7ant els terminis mercantils. Seguim, tot i els dies cr\u00edtics que ja portem a causa del flagell de la pand\u00e8mia tant pel costat hum\u00e0 com en la seva vis econ\u00f2mica, sense que es doni una reacci\u00f3 com cal per part de les nostres autoritats. La superviv\u00e8ncia empresarial, en aquestes circumst\u00e0ncies, constitueix tot un repte.<\/p>\n

(1) Espa\u00f1a se escribe con E de endeudamiento<\/em>, Deusto (2012). Crisis, d\u00e9ficit y endeudamiento<\/em>, RAED (2014). \u00bfD\u00f3nde estamos?<\/em>, Deusto (2015)<\/p>\n

Veieu v\u00eddeo<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 M\u00aa Gay de Li\u00e9bana Professor de la Facultat d’Economia i Empresa de la Universitat de Barcelona Acad\u00e8mic de n\u00famero de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914 (RAED) Si el male\u00eft patogen fustiga la poblaci\u00f3, el Govern, amb la seva nefasta gesti\u00f3, est\u00e0 posant la soga al coll a l’economia espanyola. No caminava errat […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":89098,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[268,274],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-89225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus-des-del-coneixement","category-economia-i-politica","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"\nEscanyant el teixit empresarial - Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Gay de Li\u00e9bana sobre la nefasta gesti\u00f3 del Govern a la crisi del coronavirus. 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