{"id":185115,"date":"2026-05-14T16:47:49","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T16:47:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/?p=185115"},"modified":"2026-05-15T11:07:52","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T11:07:52","slug":"quina-herencia-deixara-trump-a-leconomia-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/quina-herencia-deixara-trump-a-leconomia-global\/","title":{"rendered":"Quina her\u00e8ncia deixar\u00e0 Trump a l’economia global?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Montserrat

Dra. Montserrat Casanovas<\/p><\/div>\n

Montserrat Casanovas<\/strong><\/em><\/a>, catedr\u00e0tica d’Economia Financera i Comptabilitat de la Universitat de Barcelona<\/strong>, presidenta de l’Associaci\u00f3 Catalana de Comptabilitat i Direcci\u00f3<\/strong> i acad\u00e8mica de n\u00famero i membre de la Junta de Govern<\/strong> de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors<\/strong> (RAED), va abordar al costat de Laureano Gris<\/strong>, expert en mercats financers, els principals impactes de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f2mica empresa pel president dels Estats Units sobre les principals variables macroecon\u00f2miques i l’evoluci\u00f3 dels principals \u00edndexs a la pon\u00e8ncia “Impactes de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f2mica de Donald Trump”<\/strong>, que va presentar durant la X Trobada Acad\u00e8mica Internacional<\/strong> que la Reial Corporaci\u00f3 va celebrar entre els passats 15 i 20 de mar\u00e7 a diverses ciutats alemanyes sota el t\u00edtol gen\u00e8ric “El Rin com a corrent del coneixement: di\u00e0legs transfronterers”<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Per als dos experts, les mesures implementades per l’Administraci\u00f3 Trump, amb un enfocament clarament proteccionista, orientades a refor\u00e7ar la competitivitat interna i protegir la ind\u00fastria nacional, van incrementar dr\u00e0sticament els aranzels comercials, la qual cosa va tenir repercussions adverses en les cadenes globals de subministrament. Aix\u00ed mateix, van generar tensions als mercats financers i una depreciaci\u00f3 del d\u00f2lar davant la majoria de les divises mundials. La seva estrat\u00e8gia va combinar un marcat biaix fiscal expansiu, basat en fortes retallades fiscals i est\u00edmuls a la inversi\u00f3 privada, amb un programa de desregulaci\u00f3 sectorial, especialment en energia i serveis financers. “Les esmentades mesures persegueixen el creixement del PIB, encoratjant la inversi\u00f3 privada i el consum intern. Tot i aix\u00f2, incrementen els desequilibris pressupostaris i eleven la pressi\u00f3 sobre el deute p\u00fablic”, van considerar.<\/p>\n

Casanovas i Gris van destacar l’agressiva pol\u00edtica aranzel\u00e0ria de Washington en aquest segon mandat de Trump que ha comportat una frenada al comer\u00e7 mundial i una nova afectaci\u00f3 sobre les cadenes internacionals de subministrament i la globalitzaci\u00f3 despr\u00e9s de la crisi de la pand\u00e8mia. En aquest sentit, van apuntar com l’Organitzaci\u00f3 Mundial de Comer\u00e7<\/strong> estima que, en lloc del 2,7% previst de creixement, el volum de mercaderies globals es contraur\u00e0 un 1% el 2025, amb els Estats Units com a principal llast. En el pla dom\u00e8stic, el PIB dels Estats Units va mostrar resili\u00e8ncia en aquest escenari i va cr\u00e9ixer un 3,8% anualitzat en el segon trimestre del 2025, impulsat pel consum intern i la reducci\u00f3 d’importacions, tot i que s’espera una desacceleraci\u00f3. La variaci\u00f3 anual se situa entorn del 2,1%. Tot i aix\u00f2, la inflaci\u00f3 s’ha mantingut en la forquilla del 2,5% al 3%, amb repunts per l’encariment de productes importats i la depreciaci\u00f3 del d\u00f2lar, especialment amb l’euro, un 11,5%.<\/p>\n

\"\"El mercat laboral, aix\u00ed mateix, ha reflectit una lleugera p\u00e8rdua de dinamisme, ja que la taxa d’atur als Estats Units va pujar fins al 4,4% el setembre del 2025, influ\u00efda tamb\u00e9 per les pol\u00edtiques migrat\u00f2ries restrictives. La Reserva Federal<\/strong>, davant els xocs inflacionaris, va mantenir una postura restrictiva durant gran part de l\u2019’any, retallant tipus d’inter\u00e8s nom\u00e9s a partir de setembre fins a situar-los al 3,75-4%. Pel que fa a la tamb\u00e9 agressiva pol\u00edtica fiscal, el Departament d’Efici\u00e8ncia Governamental<\/strong> va contribuir a reduir el d\u00e8ficit del 7,07% al 5,82%. No obstant aix\u00f2, les principals ag\u00e8ncies avaluadores van degradar la qualificaci\u00f3 del deute dels Estats Units davant la projecci\u00f3 d’un fort augment del d\u00e8ficit. Els mercats, per la seva part, han respost amb una gran volatilitat, marcats en els \u00faltims mesos pels conflictes geopol\u00edtics, sense mostrar una tend\u00e8ncia clara. D’aqu\u00ed, segons els ponents, que els pr\u00f2xims trimestres sigui clau per avaluar si els beneficis interns compensen els costos externs i la incertesa m\u00e9s gran generada.<\/p>\n

Casanovas \u00e9s presidenta de la Comissi\u00f3 d’Economistes Docents i Investigadors<\/strong> del Consell General d’Economistes<\/strong>, del F\u00f2rum d’Economistes en Mercats Financers<\/strong> del Col\u00b7legi d’Economistes de Catalunya<\/strong> i del Consell Social<\/strong> del col\u00b7lectiu CIVICAi<\/strong>, constitu\u00eft l’any 2023 amb l’objectiu de defensar els interessos humans davant el desplegament de la intel\u00b7lig\u00e8ncia artificial. Reconeguda experta en transformaci\u00f3 digital, Casanovas ja exercia com a vicepresidenta d’aquest organisme des de la seva fundaci\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Montserrat Casanovas aborda els principals impactes de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f2mica empresa per Donald Trump sobre les principals variables macroecon\u00f2miques i l’evoluci\u00f3 dels principals \u00edndexs a la pon\u00e8ncia “Impactos de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Donald Trump”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":184854,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[350,380,304,492],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-185115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ciencies-politiques","category-conflictes-bellics","category-economia-i-politica-ca","category-trobades-cientifiques-i-congressos","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"\nQuina her\u00e8ncia deixar\u00e0 Trump a l'economia global? - Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/quina-herencia-deixara-trump-a-leconomia-global\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quina her\u00e8ncia deixar\u00e0 Trump a l'economia global? 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