{"id":112408,"date":"2022-02-03T13:07:45","date_gmt":"2022-02-03T13:07:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/?p=112408"},"modified":"2022-02-04T18:11:25","modified_gmt":"2022-02-04T18:11:25","slug":"la-recuperacio-economica-camina-amb-pas-lent-pero-sense-pausa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/la-recuperacio-economica-camina-amb-pas-lent-pero-sense-pausa\/","title":{"rendered":"La recuperaci\u00f3 econ\u00f2mica camina amb pas lent, per\u00f2 sense pausa"},"content":{"rendered":"

Montserrat Casanovas<\/em><\/strong><\/a>
\nCatedr\u00e0tica d’Economia Financera i Comptabilitat de la Universitat de Barcelona, \u200b\u200bpresidenta de la Comissi\u00f3 d’Economistes Docents i Investigadors i del F\u00f2rum d’Economistes de Mercats Financers del Col\u00b7legi d’Economistes de Catalunya, vicepresidenta de la Comissi\u00f3 Financera del Registre d’Economistes Assessors Financers del Consell General d’Economistes d’Espanya i coordinadora del seu Observatori Financer i acad\u00e8mica de n\u00famero i membre de la Junta de Govern de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914 (RAED).<\/em><\/p>\n

\"Montserrat

Dra. Montserrat Casanovas<\/p><\/div>\n

Montserrat Casanovas<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, catedr\u00e0tica d’Economia Financera i Comptabilitat de la Universitat de Barcelona<\/strong>, \u200b\u200bacad\u00e8mica de n\u00famero i membre de la Junta de Govern<\/strong> de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914<\/strong> (RAED), avan\u00e7a a la comunitat acad\u00e8mica les conclusions de l’“Informe de gener del 2022”<\/strong> de l’Observatori Financer<\/strong> del Consell General d’Economistes d’Espanya<\/strong> que ella mateixa coordina. El document, elaborat arran de dades oficials de diverses fonts, \u00e9s una guia completa i rigorosa que presenta amb un gran desplegament gr\u00e0fic els principals indicadors econ\u00f2mics d’Espanya, els comptes financers trimestrals i posici\u00f3 exterior, els tipus de canvi i les cotitzacions mat\u00e8ries primeres, petroli i \u00edndexs borsaris, els tipus d’inter\u00e8s als mercats interbancaris i als mercats de deute, els indicadors de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e0ria i el cr\u00e8dit i altres indicadors de les entitats financeres.<\/p>\n

Sobre els indicadors macro, el document assenyala que la recuperaci\u00f3 de l’economia mundial continua, per\u00f2 a un ritme menor. El PIB mundial hauria recuperat els nivells previs a la pand\u00e8mia, per\u00f2 a mitjans del 2021 seguia sent un 3,5% inferior al que s’havia projectat abans de la crisi, amb difer\u00e8ncies significatives entre pa\u00efsos, condicionades en gran manera per les taxes de vacunaci\u00f3. A la llum de les dades l’informe assenyala que la recuperaci\u00f3 de l’activitat est\u00e0 perdent impuls en moltes economies avan\u00e7ades, sobre manera a conseq\u00fc\u00e8ncia dels estrangulaments a les cadenes de producci\u00f3, despr\u00e9s del fort augment de la demanda de b\u00e9ns despr\u00e9s de la reobertura de les economies.<\/p>\n

“Malgrat l’elevada incertesa, es preveu que l’economia de la Uni\u00f3 Europea hagi crescut un 5,0% el 2021, estimant-se un augment del PIB del 4,3% per al 2022, amb taxes de creixement similars per al conjunt de la zona euro. S’espera que la demanda interna continu\u00ef impulsant l’expansi\u00f3, fomentant els fons del Mecanisme de Recuperaci\u00f3 i Resili\u00e8ncia<\/strong> i la inversi\u00f3 p\u00fablica i privada. La Comissi\u00f3 Europea<\/strong> ha revisat a la baixa de forma significativa les previsions per a l’economia espanyola, igual que d’altres organismes internacionals (OCDE<\/strong>, FMI<\/strong>), estimant ara un creixement per al 2021 del 4,6%, per sota de la mitjana europea i del conjunt de pa\u00efsos de l’OCDE, per\u00f2 el 2022, la implementaci\u00f3 del Pla de Recuperaci\u00f3 i Resili\u00e8ncia estimular\u00e0 la inversi\u00f3, creixent l’economia espanyola (5,5%) a un ritme m\u00e9s alt que les principals economies de la zona euro”, assenyalen les conclusions de l’estudi.<\/p>\n

\"\"Sobre l’elevat endeutament de l’economia espanyola, l’informe recorda que el deute brut de les empreses i de les llars va assolir els 1.946,7 milers de milions d’euros el segon trimestre del 2021, fet que suposa un augment del 2,6% en termes interanuals, degut sobretot al creixement del deute de les societats no financeres (4,1%), encara que el de les llars tamb\u00e9 ha crescut (0,2%). La r\u00e0tio deute\/PIB es va situar en el 167,8% (144,2% en termes consolidats, descomptant el deute interempresarial), fet que suposa un augment proper als 6 punts percentuals. “Aix\u00ed i tot, l’economia espanyola registrava una capacitat de finan\u00e7ament davant de la resta del m\u00f3n de 7.006 milions d’euros el tercer trimestre del 2021, cosa que representa el 2,4% del PIB d’aquest per\u00edode, davant l’1,1% d’un any abans, un augment que s’explica pel saldo m\u00e9s gran d’intercanvis exteriors de b\u00e9ns i serveis”, afegeix l’estudi.<\/p>\n

Aix\u00ed mateix, el text incideix en els desequilibris entre la demanda i l’oferta, que han originat notables pressions inflacionistes a escala global, especialment en mat\u00e8ries energ\u00e8tiques. Per pal\u00b7liar la inflaci\u00f3, els analistes recorden que els bancs centrals d’algunes economies avan\u00e7ades han comen\u00e7at a ajustar les pol\u00edtiques monet\u00e0ries reduint gradualment els programes de compres d’actius (EUA, Canad\u00e0 i Austr\u00e0lia) o anunciant pujades dels tipus oficials (Regne Unit). En la seva \u00faltima reuni\u00f3, celebrada al desembre, el Consell de Govern<\/strong> del Banc Central Europeu<\/strong> va aprovar la reducci\u00f3 del ritme de compres netes al seu programa d’emerg\u00e8ncia davant de la pand\u00e8mia (PEPP<\/strong>) respecte al trimestre anterior i va confirmar la suspensi\u00f3 a finals de mar\u00e7 del 2022, tot i que amb possibilitat de reprendre’l si fos necessari, i va decidir augmentar les compres mensuals en el marc del programa APP<\/strong>, encara que mantindr\u00e0 sense variaci\u00f3 el tipus d’inter\u00e8s de les operacions principals de finan\u00e7ament i els tipus d’inter\u00e8s de la facilitat marginal de cr\u00e8dit i de la facilitat de dip\u00f2sit en el 0,00%, 0,25% i -0,50%, respectivament.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Montserrat Casanovas avan\u00e7a les conclusions de l’Informe de gener de 2022 de l’Observatori Financer del Consell General d’Economistes d’Espanya que ella mateixa coordina<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":105569,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[268,304,274],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-112408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus-des-del-coneixement","category-economia-i-politica-ca","category-economia-i-politica","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"\nLa recuperaci\u00f3 econ\u00f2mica camina amb pas lent, per\u00f2 sense pausa - Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Montserrat Casanovas avan\u00e7a les conclusions de l'Informe de gener de 2022 de l'Observatori Financer del Consell General d'Economistes d'Espanya que ella mateixa coordina\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/la-recuperacio-economica-camina-amb-pas-lent-pero-sense-pausa\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La recuperaci\u00f3 econ\u00f2mica camina amb pas lent, per\u00f2 sense pausa - 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