{"id":103897,"date":"2021-06-18T05:31:24","date_gmt":"2021-06-18T05:31:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/?p=103897"},"modified":"2021-06-18T15:06:25","modified_gmt":"2021-06-18T15:06:25","slug":"les-claus-i-els-tempos-de-la-recuperacio-de-leconomia-espanyola","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/les-claus-i-els-tempos-de-la-recuperacio-de-leconomia-espanyola\/","title":{"rendered":"Les claus i els tempos de la recuperaci\u00f3 de l’economia espanyola"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 Maria Gay de Li\u00e9bana<\/em><\/strong><\/a>
\nProfessor de la Facultat d’Economia i Empresa de la Universitat de Barcelona i acad\u00e8mic de n\u00famero de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914 (RAED)<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00daltims v\u00eddeos divulgatius difosos per la web del diari “La Vanguardia” i la cadena radiof\u00f2nica Cope<\/em><\/p>\n

Jos\u00e9 Maria Gay de Li\u00e9bana<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, professor de la Facultat d’Economia i Empresa de la Universitat de Barcelona<\/strong>, \u200b\u200breconegut divulgador econ\u00f2mic i acad\u00e8mic de n\u00famero de la Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors-Barcelona 1914<\/strong> (RAED), ofereix les claus de la recuperaci\u00f3 de l’economia espanyola arran de la publicaci\u00f3 de les \u00faltimes dades macroecon\u00f2miques i l’actualitat informativa en la s\u00e8rie de videoan\u00e0lisi que realitza a l’edici\u00f3 digital del diari “La Vanguardia”<\/strong>, en la seva secci\u00f3 e-Konom\u00eda<\/strong>, i en les seves \u00faltimes intervencions a la cadena radiof\u00f2nica Cope<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

L’acad\u00e8mic apunta xifres concretes, i a partir de les \u00faltimes previsions llan\u00e7ades per l’OCDE<\/strong>, que marquen una ferma recuperaci\u00f3 el 2021 en l’\u00e0mbit global en la qual destaquen les economies dels Estats Units, la Xina i R\u00fassia, assenyala com Espanya tindr\u00e0 el creixement m\u00e9s gran de la zona euro, tot i que tamb\u00e9 el m\u00e9s lent, la qual cosa el porta a pronosticar que almenys necessitar\u00e0 uns tres anys i mig a recuperar els nivells pre-pand\u00e8mia. Fins llavors, considera, les administracions no haurien d’exercir una major pressi\u00f3 fiscal sobre la ciutadania. Tot i aix\u00f2, el cost d’aquesta crisi per a Gay de Li\u00e9bana<\/strong> ser\u00e0 la quantiosa p\u00e8rdua d’ocupaci\u00f3 de baixa i mitjana qualificaci\u00f3, el que repercutir\u00e0 sobre un augment de la desigualtat.<\/p>\n

\"Dr.

Dr. Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Gay de Li\u00e9bana<\/p><\/div>\n

Una altra dada per a l’optimisme que apunta l’acad\u00e8mic de la RAED \u00e9s el 18% de creixement interanual que apunta Airef<\/strong> com a conseq\u00fc\u00e8ncia de la fi de l’estat d’alarma, l’efecte de la vacunaci\u00f3 i la recuperaci\u00f3 del consum. En la mateixa l\u00ednia, amb el 70% de la poblaci\u00f3 vacunada a finals d’agost, el Banc d’Espanya<\/strong> assenyala que el PIB podria cr\u00e9ixer el 6,2% nom\u00e9s aquest any. “Si el 2021 enfila aquest cam\u00ed favorable, llavors per al 2022, amb el Banc Central Europeu<\/strong> mantenint la seva pol\u00edtica monet\u00e0ria expansiva, els fons europeus, els mercats exteriors recuperant-se, una major mobilitat, un entorn global m\u00e9s pac\u00edfic i anim\u00f3s, el PIB avan\u00e7aria sobre el 5,8%, tot i que despr\u00e9s, el 2023, es moderaria a l’1,8%. Ara b\u00e9, cal dir tot aix\u00f2 amb cautela, perqu\u00e8 les incerteses sobre les previsions econ\u00f2miques encara s\u00f3n elevades en funci\u00f3 de com evolucioni la crisi sanit\u00e0ria. No obstant aix\u00f2, l’atur voltar\u00e0 el 2021 el 15,6%, el d\u00e8ficit p\u00fablic sobre el -8,2% i el deute p\u00fablic per sobre del 120% del PIB”, va advertir Gay de Li\u00e9bana<\/strong> a la Cope.<\/p>\n

Perqu\u00e8 la desocupaci\u00f3, especialment la juvenil, seguir\u00e0 sent el llast de l’economia espanyola en la fase expansiva de la recuperaci\u00f3, recorda l’expert. “Que Espanya creixi un 5,5% absorbeix nom\u00e9s parcialment el desastre de la caiguda de la nostra economia, amb greus d\u00e8ficits estructurals”, va assenyalar a les seves videoan\u00e0lisi de “La Vanguardia”. “Tenim una vulnerabilitat que comen\u00e7a a ser estructural i que afecta l’activitat. En aquest sentit, el sector privat surt castigat per tot arreu i \u00e9s m\u00e9s necessari que mai que la gesti\u00f3 de l’agenda p\u00fablica sigui millor”, va afegir. El deute, aix\u00ed mateix, ser\u00e0 una altra pesada llosa de cara al futur. “Ser\u00e0 molt dif\u00edcil que els pr\u00f2xims lustres Espanya redueixi l’actual deute, amb la qual cosa tindrem un llast per a la nostra capacitat de creixement econ\u00f2mic i deixarem una her\u00e8ncia enverinada a les joves generacions”, va afirmar a la Cope.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Veiue les videoan\u00e0lisis de “La Vanguardia”<\/a><\/h2>\n

Escolteu les intervencions a la cadena Cope<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Gay de Li\u00e9bana ofereix les claus de la recuperaci\u00f3 de l’economia espanyola arran de la publicaci\u00f3 de les \u00faltimes dades macroecon\u00f2miques i l’actualitat informativa<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":89634,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[268,274],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-103897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus-des-del-coneixement","category-economia-i-politica","et-has-post-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"\nLes claus i els tempos de la recuperaci\u00f3 de l'economia espanyola - Reial Acad\u00e8mia Europea de Doctors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jos\u00e9 Mar\u00eda Gay de Li\u00e9bana ofereix les claus de la recuperaci\u00f3 de l'economia espanyola arran de la publicaci\u00f3 de les \u00faltimes dades macroecon\u00f2miques\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/raed.academy\/ca\/les-claus-i-els-tempos-de-la-recuperacio-de-leconomia-espanyola\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les claus i els tempos de la recuperaci\u00f3 de l'economia espanyola - 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